<div dir="ltr">Caros redistas,<div><br></div><div>Nesta semana teremos o prazer de receber o professor Richard Everitt da Universidade de Warwick.  Ele vai falar sobre o uso de Sequential Monte Carlo para simulação de eventos raros. Penso ser um tema de interesse para vários de vocês.</div><div><br></div><div>O seminário acontece às 16h na quinta-feira. Link: <a href="https://nam10.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffgv-br.zoom.us%2Fmeeting%2Fregister%2FtJcsceyupjIjHtK9BmjGS2MH7CpndEK6GGZc&data=04%7C01%7Cemap%40fgv.br%7C57c3f90dd56d46f34d0008d97ef77e33%7C79f6b639ab1242808077bdbeef869b33%7C0%7C0%7C637680423724795203%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C1000&sdata=gmT0rYBZlxhQCWVdT1MUkX425tMChvB3ecVJyKSZTW0%3D&reserved=0" target="_blank" style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif;font-size:14px;background-color:rgb(254,254,254)"><span style="font-size:10pt;color:rgb(14,113,235)">https://fgv-br.zoom.us/meeting/register/tJcsceyupjIjHtK9BmjGS2MH7CpndEK6GGZc</span></a></div><div><br></div><div>Cordialmente,</div><div><br></div><div>Luiz</div><br><div class="gmail_quote"><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr"><br></div>





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<b><span style="font-size:13.5pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#2f5597">RARE EVENT ABC-SMC^2</span></b><b><span style="font-size:13.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><u></u><u></u></span></b></p>
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<span style="font-size:10.5pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#595959">We propose a new algorithm based on a combination of an SMC sampler for estimating the ABC
 likelihood in the case of high-dimensional data (Prangle et al, 2018) and ABC-SMC for exploring the parameter space. The new method has a similar structure to SMC2 (Chopin et al, 2012). To automate the approach, we make use of an adaptive scheme for both the
 sequence of ABC tolerances in the SMC, and also for the MCMC rejuvenation steps of the external parameter space SMC. This is joint work with Ivis Kerama and Tom Thorne.<u></u><u></u></span></p>
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<sup><span style="font-size:10.5pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#595959">Texto informado pelo autor</span></sup><sup><span style="font-size:10.5pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#3b3838">.
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<b><span style="font-size:10.5pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#1f497d">Quando e Onde:</span></b><u></u><u></u></p>
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<span style="font-size:10.5pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#595959">30 de Setembro de 2021, às
<b>16h</b></span><span style="color:#595959"><u></u><u></u></span></p>
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<span style="font-size:10.5pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#595959">Via Zoom</span><span style="color:#595959"><u></u><u></u></span></p>
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<span style="font-size:10.5pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#595959">Registre-se com antecedência para este seminário:
</span><span style="color:#595959"><u></u><u></u></span></p>
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<span style="font-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><a href="https://nam10.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffgv-br.zoom.us%2Fmeeting%2Fregister%2FtJcsceyupjIjHtK9BmjGS2MH7CpndEK6GGZc&data=04%7C01%7Cemap%40fgv.br%7C57c3f90dd56d46f34d0008d97ef77e33%7C79f6b639ab1242808077bdbeef869b33%7C0%7C0%7C637680423724795203%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C1000&sdata=gmT0rYBZlxhQCWVdT1MUkX425tMChvB3ecVJyKSZTW0%3D&reserved=0" target="_blank"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;color:#0e71eb">https://fgv-br.zoom.us/meeting/register/tJcsceyupjIjHtK9BmjGS2MH7CpndEK6GGZc
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<span style="font-size:10.5pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#595959">Após o registro, você receberá um e-mail de confirmação contendo informações sobre conexão
 no seminário.<u></u><u></u></span></p>
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<b><span style="font-size:10.5pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#1f4e79">Palestrante:</span></b><b><span style="font-size:10.5pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#1f497d"><u></u><u></u></span></b></p>
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<b><span style="font-size:10.5pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#595959">Richard Everitt</span></b><span style="font-size:10.5pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#595959">
  - is an Associate Professor in Statistics at the University of Warwick (UK). His research is in methodology for Bayesian computation, applied to problems in statistical genetics, neuroscience, ecology, weather and climate, spatial statistics, network analysis
 and signal processing.</span><span style="color:#1f497d"><u></u><u></u></span></p>
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</div><br clear="all"><div><br></div>-- <br><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div dir="ltr" style="color:rgb(80,0,80)"><div dir="ltr">Luiz Max Fagundes de Carvalho</div><div dir="ltr">Lecturer, School of Applied Mathematics (EMAp), Getúlio Vargas Foundation (FGV), Brazil.</div><div dir="ltr">Praia de Botafogo, 190, Sala 511, Rio de Janeiro, RJ 22250-900.</div><div dir="ltr">Brazil</div></div></div></div></div></div></div>