<div dir="ltr"><div class="gmail_quote"><div class="msg-7659300419254782831"><div dir="ltr"><div><div id="m_-8302892994348017972divRplyFwdMsg" dir="ltr"><span class="gmail_signature_prefix">Bom dia pessoal,</span></div><div id="m_-8302892994348017972divRplyFwdMsg" dir="ltr"><span class="gmail_signature_prefix"><br></span></div><div id="m_-8302892994348017972divRplyFwdMsg"><span class="gmail_signature_prefix">O último seminário de ciência de dados e decisão do Insper s</span>erá apresentado pelo nosso professor Paulo Marques e acontecerá na 5a-feira, dia 14/12, entre 12h e 13h30. O seminário será no formato online através do seguinte endereço do zoom: <a href="https://zoom.us/j/95781336030">https://zoom.us/j/95781336030</a>.</div><div id="m_-8302892994348017972divRplyFwdMsg"><br></div><div id="m_-8302892994348017972divRplyFwdMsg">Abraços e bom final de ano para todos,<br></div><div id="m_-8302892994348017972divRplyFwdMsg"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-family:Calibri,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif,"Apple Color Emoji","Segoe UI Emoji",NotoColorEmoji,"Segoe UI Symbol","Android Emoji",EmojiSymbols"><br></span></div><div id="m_-8302892994348017972divRplyFwdMsg"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-family:Calibri,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif,"Apple Color Emoji","Segoe UI Emoji",NotoColorEmoji,"Segoe UI Symbol","Android Emoji",EmojiSymbols">Hedibert Freitas Lopes, PhD</span><br></div><div id="m_-8302892994348017972divRplyFwdMsg" dir="ltr"><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_signature"><div dir="ltr"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-family:Calibri,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif,"Apple Color Emoji","Segoe UI Emoji",NotoColorEmoji,"Segoe UI Symbol","Android Emoji",EmojiSymbols">Professor of Statistics and Econometrics</span><br style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-family:Calibri,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif,"Apple Color Emoji","Segoe UI Emoji",NotoColorEmoji,"Segoe UI Symbol","Android Emoji",EmojiSymbols"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-family:Calibri,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif,"Apple Color Emoji","Segoe UI Emoji",NotoColorEmoji,"Segoe UI Symbol","Android Emoji",EmojiSymbols">INSPER - Institute of Education and Research</span><br style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-family:Calibri,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif,"Apple Color Emoji","Segoe UI Emoji",NotoColorEmoji,"Segoe UI Symbol","Android Emoji",EmojiSymbols"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-family:Calibri,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif,"Apple Color Emoji","Segoe UI Emoji",NotoColorEmoji,"Segoe UI Symbol","Android Emoji",EmojiSymbols">Rua Quatá, 300 - São Paulo, SP 04546-042 Brazil</span><br style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-family:Calibri,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif,"Apple Color Emoji","Segoe UI Emoji",NotoColorEmoji,"Segoe UI Symbol","Android Emoji",EmojiSymbols"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-family:Calibri,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif,"Apple Color Emoji","Segoe UI Emoji",NotoColorEmoji,"Segoe UI Symbol","Android Emoji",EmojiSymbols">Phone: +55 11 4504-2343</span><br style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-family:Calibri,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif,"Apple Color Emoji","Segoe UI Emoji",NotoColorEmoji,"Segoe UI Symbol","Android Emoji",EmojiSymbols"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-family:Calibri,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif,"Apple Color Emoji","Segoe UI Emoji",NotoColorEmoji,"Segoe UI Symbol","Android Emoji",EmojiSymbols"><a href="http://www.hedibert.org/" target="_blank">www.hedibert.org</a></span></div></div><div> </div></div>
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<span style="font-family:Verdana,sans-serif;color:black"><b>Título: </b></span><span style="font-family:Verdana,sans-serif"><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.02770" style="margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px" id="m_-8302892994348017972OWAc9c886f8-bac4-063a-9421-26d8ade46527" target="_blank">On
the universal distribution of the coverage in split conformal prediction</a></span></p>
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<span style="font-family:Verdana,sans-serif;color:black"><b>Speaker: </b><a href="http://lattes.cnpq.br/0985534548499511" style="margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px" id="m_-8302892994348017972OWA4d1e403b-ace9-767e-75e4-2aa7f09f7eaf" target="_blank">Paulo
Marques</a></span></p>
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<span style="font-family:Verdana,sans-serif;color:black"><b>University: </b>
<a href="https://www.insper.edu.br/" style="margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px" id="m_-8302892994348017972OWAbb046687-c076-bd49-0010-badb37a5eca5" target="_blank">Insper</a></span></p>
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<span style="font-family:Verdana,sans-serif"><b>Abstract: </b></span><span style="font-family:Verdana,sans-serif;color:rgb(65,64,66)">Two additional universal properties are established in the split conformal prediction framework. In a regression
setting with exchangeable data, we determine the exact distribution of the coverage of prediction sets for a finite horizon of future observables, as well as the exact distribution of its almost sure limit. The results hold for finite training and calibration
samples, and both distributions are determined solely by the nominal miscoverage level and the calibration sample size.</span></p>
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<p style="margin:0cm;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif;font-size:11pt"><span style="font-family:Verdana,sans-serif;color:black">December 14, 2023</span></p>
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<p style="margin:0cm;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif;font-size:11pt"><span style="font-family:Verdana,sans-serif;color:black">12pm, São Paulo, Brasil (UTC/GMT -03:00)</span></p>
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<p style="margin:0cm;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif;font-size:11pt"><span style="font-family:Verdana,sans-serif;color:black">The seminar will be streamed at the <a href="https://zoom.us/j/95781336030" style="margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px" id="m_-8302892994348017972OWAed34f02a-e221-40b7-6331-1186b17f5834" target="_blank">link</a> - </span><span style="font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:small"><a href="https://zoom.us/j/95781336030">https://zoom.us/j/95781336030</a></span></p>
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<p style="margin:0cm;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif;font-size:11pt"><span style="font-family:Verdana,sans-serif;font-size:8.5pt;color:rgb(58,58,65)">Rua Quatá, 300 - Vila Olímpia - São Paulo/SP - Brasil - CEP: 04546-042 | Tel: (11) 4504-2400</span></p>
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