<div dir="ltr"><div class="gmail_default" style="font-family:comic sans ms,sans-serif;font-size:small">Parabéns.</div><div class="gmail_default" style="font-family:comic sans ms,sans-serif;font-size:small">E o mais importante: com a metodologia aberta e explícita.</div></div><div class="gmail_extra"><br clear="all"><div><div dir="ltr"><span></span><span></span>Vermelho<br>F.: (21) 2501 2332 - casa<br> 2142 0473 - IBGE</div></div>
<br><div class="gmail_quote">Em 27 de outubro de 2014 09:54, Neale El-Dash <span dir="ltr"><<a href="mailto:neale.eldash@gmail.com" target="_blank">neale.eldash@gmail.com</a>></span> escreveu:<br><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex"><div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US">O <a href="http://www.pollingdata.com.br/" target="_blank">Pollingdata</a> (<a href="http://www.pollingdata.com.br" target="_blank">www.pollingdata.com.br</a>) foi mais
preciso na previsão do resultado da eleição presidencial do que todos os institutos Vejam a tabela abaixo com a comparação das estimativas.</span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US"><br></span></p>
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="465" style="width:349pt;margin-left:2.75pt;border-collapse:collapse">
<tbody><tr style="height:15pt">
<td width="99" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:74pt;border:1pt solid windowtext;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">Data</span></p>
</td>
<td width="127" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:95pt;border-style:solid solid solid none;border-top-color:windowtext;border-right-color:windowtext;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-top-width:1pt;border-right-width:1pt;border-bottom-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">Fonte</span></p>
</td>
<td width="92" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:69pt;border-style:solid solid solid none;border-top-color:windowtext;border-right-color:windowtext;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-top-width:1pt;border-right-width:1pt;border-bottom-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt"><span style="color:black">Voto na Dilma</span></p>
</td>
<td width="92" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:69pt;border-style:solid solid solid none;border-top-color:windowtext;border-right-color:windowtext;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-top-width:1pt;border-right-width:1pt;border-bottom-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">Erro
Absoluto</span></p>
</td>
<td width="56" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:42pt;border-style:solid solid solid none;border-top-color:windowtext;border-right-color:windowtext;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-top-width:1pt;border-right-width:1pt;border-bottom-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">Ranking</span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height:15pt">
<td width="99" nowrap style="width:74pt;border-style:none solid solid;border-right-color:windowtext;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-left-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-left-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">25/10/2014</span></p>
</td>
<td width="127" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:95pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black"><a href="http://PollingData.com.br" target="_blank">PollingData.com.br</a></span></p>
</td>
<td width="92" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:69pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">51,1%</span></p>
</td>
<td width="92" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:69pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">0,5%</span></p>
</td>
<td width="56" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:42pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">1</span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height:15pt">
<td width="99" nowrap style="width:74pt;border-style:none solid solid;border-right-color:windowtext;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-left-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-left-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">25/10/2014</span></p>
</td>
<td width="127" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:95pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">Datafolha</span></p>
</td>
<td width="92" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:69pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">52,2%</span></p>
</td>
<td width="92" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:69pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">0,6%</span></p>
</td>
<td width="56" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:42pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">2</span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height:15pt">
<td width="99" nowrap style="width:74pt;border-style:none solid solid;border-right-color:windowtext;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-left-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-left-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">25/10/2014</span></p>
</td>
<td width="127" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:95pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">Ibope</span></p>
</td>
<td width="92" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:69pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">53,3%</span></p>
</td>
<td width="92" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:69pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">1,6%</span></p>
</td>
<td width="56" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:42pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">3</span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height:15pt">
<td width="99" nowrap style="width:74pt;border-style:none solid solid;border-right-color:windowtext;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-left-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-left-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">24/10/2014</span></p>
</td>
<td width="127" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:95pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">MDA</span></p>
</td>
<td width="92" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:69pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">49,7%</span></p>
</td>
<td width="92" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:69pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">2,0%</span></p>
</td>
<td width="56" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:42pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">4</span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height:15pt">
<td width="99" nowrap style="width:74pt;border-style:none solid solid;border-right-color:windowtext;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-left-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-left-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">25/10/2014</span></p>
</td>
<td width="127" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:95pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">Vox
Populi</span></p>
</td>
<td width="92" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:69pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">53,9%</span></p>
</td>
<td width="92" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:69pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">2,3%</span></p>
</td>
<td width="56" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:42pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">5</span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height:15pt">
<td width="99" nowrap style="width:74pt;border-style:none solid solid;border-right-color:windowtext;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-left-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-left-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">25/10/2014</span></p>
</td>
<td width="127" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:95pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">Sensus</span></p>
</td>
<td width="92" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:69pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">47,9%</span></p>
</td>
<td width="92" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:69pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">3,7%</span></p>
</td>
<td width="56" nowrap valign="bottom" style="width:42pt;border-style:none solid solid none;border-bottom-color:windowtext;border-bottom-width:1pt;border-right-color:windowtext;border-right-width:1pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt;height:15pt">
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center"><span style="color:black">6</span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center"><span lang="EN-US"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center"><span lang="EN-US"> </span></p><div>Porem acredito que o Prof. Carlinhos foi mais preciso que o PollingData ;)</div><div><br></div><div dir="ltr"><br><div><br>-----------------------------------------------<br>Neale Ahmed El-Dash<br>Doutor em Estatística<br>Celular: <a href="tel:%2B55%2019%20998893939" value="+5519998893939" target="_blank">+55 19 998893939</a><br>Email: <a href="mailto:neale.eldash@gmail.com" target="_blank">neale.eldash@gmail.com</a><div style="display:inline"></div></div></div>
</div>
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<br></blockquote></div><br></div>