<html><head><style type='text/css'>p { margin: 0; }</style></head><body><div style='font-family: times new roman,new york,times,serif; font-size: 12pt; color: #000000'>Prezados colegas e alunos,<br><br>Esta semana retomamos os Seminários de Probabilidade e Sistemas Complexos, ICMC-USP & UFSCar, São Carlos. Segue a informação da
primeira palestra do ano que será 16h00 na sexta, sala 4-005 do ICMC.<br><h1>A large deviations principle for the Maki-Thompson rumour model</h1>
<b>Speaker: Elcio Lebensztayn (IMECC-UNICAMP)</b>
<br><br>
Date: 13/03/2015<br>
Time: 16h00<br>
Room: 4-005<br><br>
<b>Abstract:</b> We consider the stochastic model for the propagation of
a rumour within a population which was formulated by Maki and Thompson.
Sudbury has established that, as the population size tends to infinity,
the proportion of the population never hearing the rumour converges in
probability to 0.2032.
We prove a corresponding large deviations principle, with an explicit
formula for the rate function.
<br><br>Uma lista atualizada dos seminários do ano será mantida no site http://www.icmc.usp.br/pessoas/pablor/seminar.html<br><br>Estão todos convidados!<br><br>Um abraço,<br><br><span></span>Pablo Martín Rodríguez<br><div>Professor Doutor (MS-3)<br>Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics, ICMC-USP<br>C.P. 668 - São Carlos, SP, Brazil - CEP 13560-970<span></span><br></div><br></div></body></html>