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<p lang="zxx" style="margin-bottom: 0cm">Ciclo de Palestras do Programa de Pós-graduação em Estatística da UnB<br>
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Divulgação de palestra do Programa de Pós-graduação em Estatística da UnB.</p>
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Palestrante:<br>
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<font style="font-size: 11pt;">Dra</font><font style="font-size: 11pt;">.</font> <font style="font-size: 11pt;">Camila C. S. Caiado</font><br>
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<font style="font-size: 11pt;">Lecturer in Statistics, Dept. of Mathematical Sciences, Durham University, Durham, UK</font></p>
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<p lang="zxx" style="margin-bottom: 0cm">DATA: 06/08/2015 (quinta-feira)</p>
<p lang="zxx" style="margin-bottom: 0cm">HORÁRIO: 10:30 h</p>
<p lang="zxx" style="margin-bottom: 0cm">LOCAL: Sala Multiuso EST (Prédio CIC/EST)</p>
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<p lang="zxx" style="margin-bottom: 0cm">Título: Bayesian Uncertainty Analysis for Tipping Points in Systems Modelled by Computer Simulators</p>
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<p lang="zxx" style="margin-bottom: 0cm">Resumo: Physical systems are often modelled by computer simulators based on highly non-linear systems presenting two or more equilibrium states. At equilibrium, such states can be seen as discontinuities on the model's input space. We use multiple emulators to investigate the simulator's behaviour in different equilibrium states and estimate boundaries between such regions with an application to a four-box ocean circulation model.<br>
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<p lang="zxx" style="margin-bottom: 0cm"><font style="font-size: 11pt">O</font><font style="font-size: 11pt">bservações:</font><br>
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<p lang="zxx" style="margin-bottom: 0cm"><font style="font-size: 11pt">A Camila</font> <font style="font-size: 11pt">é nossa ex-aluna do Bacharelado em Estatística da UnB, e muito nos orgulha com o sucesso em sua vida profissional.</font></p>
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