<div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify"><b><span style="background-image:initial;background-repeat:initial"><font face="georgia, serif"><span class="" id=":4f3.1" tabindex="-1">Seminário</span> - <span class="" id=":4f3.2" tabindex="-1">Projeto</span> <span class="" id=":4f3.3" tabindex="-1">Temático</span>: <span class="" id=":4f3.4" tabindex="-1">Modelos</span> <span class="" id=":4f3.5" tabindex="-1">de</span>
<span class="" id=":4f3.6" tabindex="-1">Regressão</span> e <span class="" id=":4f3.7" tabindex="-1">Aplicações</span></font></span></b></p>

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<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify"><font face="georgia, serif"><b><span lang="EN-US" style="background-image:initial;background-repeat:initial"><span class="" id=":4f3.8" tabindex="-1">Título</span>: </span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="background-image:initial;background-repeat:initial"><span class="" id=":4f3.9" tabindex="-1">Uma</span> <span class="" id=":4f3.10" tabindex="-1">contribuição</span> <span class="" id=":4f3.11" tabindex="-1">estatística</span>
à <span class="" id=":4f3.12" tabindex="-1">filologia</span></span><b><span lang="EN-US" style="background-image:initial;background-repeat:initial"></span></b></font></p>

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<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify"><font face="georgia, serif"><b><span lang="IT" style="background-image:initial;background-repeat:initial"><span class="" id=":4f3.13" tabindex="-1">Palestrante</span>: </span></b><span lang="IT" style="background-image:initial;background-repeat:initial">Rafael <span class="" id=":4f3.14" tabindex="-1">Bassi</span> Stern, <span class="" id=":4f3.15" tabindex="-1">Doutor</span> em
<span class="" id=":4f3.16" tabindex="-1">Estatística</span>, Carnegie Mellon University </span><span lang="IT" style="background-image:initial;background-repeat:initial"></span></font></p>

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<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify"><font face="georgia, serif"><b><span style="background-image:initial;background-repeat:initial"><span class="" id=":4f3.17" tabindex="-1">Quando</span>: </span></b><span style="background-image:initial;background-repeat:initial">16 <span class="" id=":4f3.18" tabindex="-1">de</span> <span class="" id=":4f3.19" tabindex="-1">outubro</span>, <span class="" id=":4f3.20" tabindex="-1">sexta</span>-<span class="" id=":4f3.21" tabindex="-1">feira</span>, <span class="" id=":4f3.22" tabindex="-1">às</span> 11h.</span></font></p>

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<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify"><font face="georgia, serif"><b><span style="background-image:initial;background-repeat:initial"><span class="" id=":4f3.23" tabindex="-1">Onde</span>: </span></b><span style="background-image:initial;background-repeat:initial"><span class="" id=":4f3.24" tabindex="-1">Auditório</span> <span class="" id=":4f3.25" tabindex="-1">Jacy</span> <span class="" id=":4f3.26" tabindex="-1">Monteiro</span>, <span class="" id=":4f3.27" tabindex="-1">Bloco</span> B, <span class="" id=":4f3.28" tabindex="-1">piso</span> <span class="" id=":4f3.29" tabindex="-1">térreo</span> - <span class="" id=":4f3.30" tabindex="-1">IME</span>-USP</span></font></p>

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<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;background-image:initial;background-repeat:initial"><font face="georgia, serif"><b><span class="" id=":4f3.31" tabindex="-1">Resumo</span></b>. Historical Linguistics studies language change over
time. If a group of languages derives from changes to a common ancestor
language (<span class="" id=":4f3.32" tabindex="-1">proto</span>-language) then they are said to be related. Whenever there
exists a lack of written records for an ancestor language, a relevant question
in Historical Linguistics is to determine whether two languages are related.
However, it is hard to find ancient relationships between languages.</font></p>

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<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;background-image:initial;background-repeat:initial"><font face="georgia, serif">Given the above challenge, I propose a new (probability) model for the
evolution of languages. A relevant innovation of this model is that it captures
the regularity of sound changes. I present a new algorithm used to compute the
probability of linguistic hypotheses regarding language relationships and the
occurrence of regular sound changes. This algorithm is a new variant of Nested
Sequential Monte Carlo. I prove the consistency of the algorithm by showing
that it is a case of Sequential Importance <span class="" id=":4f3.33" tabindex="-1">Resampling</span>. The algorithm is illustrated
with tests on <span class="" id=":4f3.34" tabindex="-1">Indo</span>-European languages.</font><font face="Arial, sans-serif" style="font-size:9.5pt"></font></p></div>