<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" xmlns:v="urn:schemas-microsoft-com:vml" xmlns:o="urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office"><head></head><body><div style="color:#000; background-color:#fff; font-family:HelveticaNeue, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Arial, Lucida Grande, sans-serif;font-size:13px"><div id="yui_3_16_0_ym19_1_1476298924524_2963" dir="ltr">Interessante artigo no The Upshot do NY Times mostrando um exemplo do que pode ser feito quando os dados e documentação metodológica de pesquisas eleitorais são disponíveis e transparentes para o público. </div><div id="yui_3_16_0_ym19_1_1476298924524_2963" dir="ltr"><br></div><div id="yui_3_16_0_ym19_1_1476298924524_2963" dir="ltr"><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/13/upshot/how-one-19-year-old-illinois-man-is-distorting-national-polling-averages.html?_r=0" id="yui_3_16_0_ym19_1_1476298924524_2986" class="enhancr2_3125244c-2fce-384c-a435-2183bfbf7d7c">How One 19-Year-Old Illinois Man Is Distorting National Polling Averages</a><br></div><div id="yui_3_16_0_ym19_1_1476298924524_2963" dir="ltr"><br></div><div id="enhancr2_3125244c-2fce-384c-a435-2183bfbf7d7c" class="yahoo-link-enhancr-card ymail-preserve-class ymail-preserve-style img-overlay-selected" style="max-width:400px;font-family:'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;" contenteditable="false" data-url="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/13/upshot/how-one-19-year-old-illinois-man-is-distorting-national-polling-averages.html?_r=0" data-type="yenhancr" data-category="article" data-embed-url="" data-size="medium" dir="ltr"> <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/13/upshot/how-one-19-year-old-illinois-man-is-distorting-national-polling-averages.html?_r=0" style="text-decoration:none !important; 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line-height:19px; margin:0 0 4px 0;font-family:'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;word-break:break-word;">How One 19-Year-Old Illinois Man Is Distorting National Polling Averages</h2> <div class="card-richinfo-primary" style="font-size:11px;line-height:15px;color:#999;">De Nate Cohn</div> <div class="card-description" style="font-size:11px;line-height:15px;color:#999;word-break:break-word;">The U.S.C/Los Angeles Times poll has consistently been an outlier, showing Donald Trump in the lead or near the ...</div> </td> <td style="text-align:right;padding:16px 12px 16px 0;"> </td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> </tr> </tbody></table> </a></div><div id="yui_3_16_0_ym19_1_1476298924524_3339"><br></div><div id="yui_3_16_0_ym19_1_1476298924524_3339"><br></div><div id="yui_3_16_0_ym19_1_1476298924524_3339">- Raphael Nishimura</div></div></body></html>