<div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify"><b><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial">Seminário - Projeto Temático: Modelos de Regressão e Aplicações<span></span></span></b></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify"><b><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><span> </span></span></b></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><b><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial">Título: </span></b><span style="font-size:9.5pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial">Where geography lives? A projection approach for spatial confounding</span><span style="font-size:9.5pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif"><span></span></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify"><b><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><span> </span></span></b></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify"><b><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial">Palestrante:</span></b><span style="font-size:9.5pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"> </span><span style="font-size:9.5pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial">Marcos Prates – Departamento de
Estatística, UFMG </span><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><span></span></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify"><b><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><span> </span></span></b></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify"><b><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial">Quando: </span></b><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial">11 de novembro de 2016, sexta-feira, às 11h.<span></span></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><span> </span></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify"><b><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial">Onde: </span></b><span style="font-size:9.5pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif">Auditório Antonio Gilioli</span><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"> – Bloco A,
segundo andar - IME-USP<span></span></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:9.5pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif"><span> </span></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:12pt;text-align:justify;line-height:11.05pt;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><b><span style="font-size:9.5pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif">Resumo</span></b><span style="font-size:9.5pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial">. </span><span style="font-size:9.5pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif">Spatial confounding between
the spatial random effects and fixed effects covariates has been
recently discovered and showed that it may bring misleading interpretation to
the model results. Solutions to alleviate this problem are based on decomposing
the spatial random effect and fitting a
restricted spatial regression. In this paper, we propose a
different approach: a transformation of the geographic space to ensure
that the unobserved spatial random effect added to the regression is
orthogonal to the fixed effects covariates. Our approach, named SPOCK, has
the additional benefit of providing a fast and simple computational method to
estimate the parameters. Furthermore, it does not constrain the distribution
class assumed for the spatial error term. A simulation study and a
real data analysis are presented to better understand the advantages of the new
method in comparison with the existing ones<span></span></span></p>

<pre style="text-align:justify;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><span style="font-size:9.5pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial">Joint work with Renato Martins Assunção and Erica Castilho Rodrigues</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size:9.5pt;font-family:arial,sans-serif;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial">.</span><span lang="EN-US"><span></span></span></pre></div>