<div dir="ltr"><div dir="ltr"><div dir="ltr"><div dir="ltr"><div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center;line-height:normal;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial" align="center"><b><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif">Ciclo de Palestras online
do Departamento de Estatística da UFBA</span></b><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif"><span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center;line-height:normal;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial" align="center"><b><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif"> </span></b><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif"><span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;line-height:normal;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><b><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif">Palestrante</span></b><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif">: Julio Singer, Departamento de Estatística, IME-USP<span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;line-height:normal;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><u><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif;color:rgb(50,108,153);background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial">CV: </span></u><u><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif;color:rgb(50,108,153);background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><strong><a href="http://lattes.cnpq.br/1069731541677061" class="gmail-m_-4313475105414977983gmail-urlextern" title="http://lattes.cnpq.br/1069731541677061" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://lattes.cnpq.br/<wbr>1069731541677061</a></strong></span></u></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;line-height:normal;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><u><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif;color:rgb(50,108,153);background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><strong><a href="http://lattes.cnpq.br/1069731541677061" class="gmail-m_-4313475105414977983gmail-urlextern" title="http://lattes.cnpq.br/1069731541677061" rel="nofollow" target="_blank"><br></a></strong></span></u></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;line-height:normal;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><u><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif;color:rgb(50,108,153);background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><strong><a href="http://lattes.cnpq.br/1069731541677061" class="gmail-m_-4313475105414977983gmail-urlextern" title="http://lattes.cnpq.br/1069731541677061" rel="nofollow" target="_blank"><br></a></strong></span></u></p><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif"> </span><b><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif" lang="EN-US">Título</span></b><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif;color:black;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial" lang="EN-US">: </span>Fitting mixed models to messy longitudinal data: a case study involving estimation of post mortem intervals<br><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif;color:black;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial" lang="EN-US"></span><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;line-height:normal;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><br></p><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif" lang="EN-US"></span> <p class="MsoNormal" style="background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><b><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif" lang="EN-US">Resumo</span></b><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif" lang="EN-US">: </span><br></p><div class="gmail_default" style="font-size:small">Non-linear mixed
models are useful in many practical longitudinal data problems,
especially when they are derived as solutions to differential equations
generated <br>by subject matter theoretical considerations. When this
underlying rationale is not available, practitioners are faced with the
dilemma of choosing a model from the</div><div class="gmail_default" style="font-size:small">
numerous ones available in the literature. The situation is even worse
for messy data where interpretation and computational problems are
frequent. This is the case with a pilot observational study conducted
at the School of Medicine of the University of São Paulo in which a new
method to estimate the time since death (post-mortem interval - PMI) is proposed. In
particular, the attenuation of the density of intra-cardiac hypostasis
(concentration of red cells in the vascular
system by gravity) obtained from a series of tomographic images was
observed in the thoraces of 21 bodies of hospitalized patients with
known time of death. The images were obtained at different instants
and not always at the same conditions for each body, generating a set of
messy data. In this context, we consider three<i> ad hoc</i> models to analyse the data, commenting on the advantages and caveats of each approach.<br></div><div class="gmail_default" style="font-size:small"><br></div><p class="MsoNormal" style="background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif" lang="EN-US"></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif"><span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;line-height:normal;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><b><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif"><br></span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;line-height:normal;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><b><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif">Data: 24/11/2017 <wbr> <wbr> </span></b><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif"><span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;line-height:normal;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><b><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif">Hora: 11hs (Horário de Brasília)<span></span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;line-height:normal;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><b><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif">Local: Sala 12 do IME</span></b><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif"><span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;line-height:normal;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;line-height:normal;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><b><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif">O link para acompanhar a palestra é</span></b><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif"><span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;line-height:normal;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><u><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCC96Rmc3qKEYkKk187IcLdA/live" target="_blank">https://www.youtube.com/channe<wbr>l/UCC96Rmc3qKEYkKk187IcLdA/liv<wbr>e</a></span></u><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif"><span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;line-height:normal;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif">E todos que estiverem acompanhando de forma online poderão
enviar dúvidas pelo chat da transmissão, pois as perguntas serão repassadas
para o Prof. Julio Singer.<span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;line-height:normal;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;line-height:normal;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif"> </span></p>
<span style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif">Essa atividade tem coordenação de Lizandra C. Fabio (<a href="mailto:lizandra.fabio@ufba.br" target="_blank">lizandra.fabio@ufba.br</a>)
e Bruno Santos (<a href="mailto:brunorsantos@ufba.br" target="_blank">brunorsantos@ufba.br</a>), caso queiram enviar
comentários ou sugestões sobre as palestras.</span></div></div></div></div></div>