<div dir="ltr"><div class="gmail_default" style="font-family:verdana,sans-serif">Caros redistas,</div><div class="gmail_default" style="font-family:verdana,sans-serif"><br></div><div class="gmail_default" style="font-family:verdana,sans-serif">Talvez a matéria anexada possa interessar. Há dois temas: divulgar a série 'Stats and Stories', que neste último episódio entrevistou Kerrie Mengersen, e também uma competição cujos detalhes são fornecidos na mensagem.</div><div class="gmail_default" style="font-family:verdana,sans-serif"><br></div><div class="gmail_default" style="font-family:verdana,sans-serif">A série Stats and Stories alcançou 65 episódios, e contém uma coleção bastante rica de entrevistas que podem servir de recursos instrucionais para enriquecer o ensino e a aprendizagem da Estatística.</div><div class="gmail_default" style="font-family:verdana,sans-serif"><br></div><div class="gmail_default" style="font-family:verdana,sans-serif">Saudações, Pedro.</div><br><div class="gmail_quote"><div dir="ltr">---------- Forwarded message ---------<br>From: <strong class="gmail_sendername" dir="auto">Bailer, A. John</strong> <span dir="ltr"><<a href="mailto:baileraj@miamioh.edu">baileraj@miamioh.edu</a>></span><br>Date: sex, 7 de set de 2018 às 09:50<br>Subject: Explaining Bayes Better | Stats + (Short) Stories #65 | Guest: Kerrie Mengersen AND announcing the first Stats+Stories Contest!<br>To: <br>Cc: Pennington, Rosemary <<a href="mailto:penninrm@miamioh.edu">penninrm@miamioh.edu</a>>, Campbell, Richard <<a href="mailto:campber@miamioh.edu">campber@miamioh.edu</a>>, Steven Beitzel <<a href="mailto:beitzese@miamioh.edu">beitzese@miamioh.edu</a>>, Ringo Jones <<a href="mailto:jonesre3@miamioh.edu">jonesre3@miamioh.edu</a>>, Paula Fogt <<a href="mailto:fogtpd@miamioh.edu">fogtpd@miamioh.edu</a>>, Moore, Guy R. Mr. <<a href="mailto:mooregr@miamioh.edu">mooregr@miamioh.edu</a>>, Jason Barone <<a href="mailto:baronejb@miamioh.edu">baronejb@miamioh.edu</a>>, Charles Blades <<a href="mailto:bladesch@miamioh.edu">bladesch@miamioh.edu</a>><br></div><br><br><div dir="ltr"><div dir="ltr"><div><div style="font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:rgb(255,255,255)">Greetings,</div><div style="text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)"><font color="#000000"><span style="font-size:12.8px"> Stats+ Short Stories #65: "Explaining Bayes Better" is now available. <span style="font-family:arial,helvetica,sans-serif;background-color:rgb(255,255,255);text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;float:none;display:inline">Kerrie Mengersen (@KerrieMengersen), Distinguished Professor at the Queensland University of Technology in Brisbane, Queensland, Australia, and past-President of the<span> </span></span><a href="http://www.cas.miamioh.edu/statsandstories/archives54.html" style="color:rgb(17,85,204);font-family:arial,helvetica,sans-serif;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)" target="_blank">International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)</a><span style="font-family:arial,helvetica,sans-serif;background-color:rgb(255,255,255);text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;float:none;display:inline">, describes<span style="color:rgb(34,34,34);font-family:arial,sans-serif;font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;float:none;display:inline"> the application of remote sensing to studies of agriculture, poverty, and treatments for Parkinson’s disease</span>.</span></span></font><font color="#000000"><span style="font-size:12.8px"> In addition, the first Stats+Stories contest, #BetterBayes, is described.</span></font><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-size:12.8px"> Contest details are:</span></div><div style="text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)"><br></div></div></div><blockquote style="margin:0 0 0 40px;border:none;padding:0px"><div><div><div style="text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)"><strong style="font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial">Challenge: </strong><span style="font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;float:none;display:inline"><span> </span>Explain Bayes to a non-technical audience</span></div></div></div><div><div><div style="text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)"><br style="font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial"></div></div></div><div><div><div style="text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)"><strong style="font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial">Entries:</strong><span style="font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;float:none;display:inline"> A story headline and the lede (or lead) sentence for such a story. The headline will be 6 words or less and the lead is a sentence of less than 30 words. If someone is grazing a news story, then they can get what they need from the headline and the lede sentence if they aren’t going to finish reading the story. The reflects everything you need to know, the nuts and bolts, the very basics of the story.</span></div></div></div><div><div><div style="text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)"><br style="font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial"></div></div></div><div><div><div style="text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)"><span style="font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;float:none;display:inline"><b>Submitting your entry:</b> Go to the Stats+Stories contest<span> </span></span><a href="https://statsandstories.net/betterbayes" title="BetterBayes Contest" style="color:rgb(17,85,204);font-size:small" target="_blank">entry page</a></div></div></div><div><div><div style="text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)"><br style="font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial"></div></div></div><div><div><div style="text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)"><strong style="font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial">Deadline for Entries: </strong><span style="font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;float:none;display:inline"><span> </span>06 October 2018. Winners to be announced a few weeks later.</span></div></div></div><div><div><div style="text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)"><br style="font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial"></div></div></div><div><div><div style="text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)"><strong style="font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial">Judges:</strong><span style="font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;float:none;display:inline"> A Bayesian statistician and a journalist</span></div></div></div><div><div><div style="text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)"><br style="font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial"></div></div></div><div><div><div style="text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)"><strong style="font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial">Prize: </strong><span style="font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;float:none;display:inline"> The adoration of your friend AND a year subscription to the International Society for Bayesian Analysis. In addition, you'll have a chance to chat with the judges and the Stats+Stories team on a future episode of Stats+Stories.</span></div></div></div><div><div><div style="text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)"><br style="font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial"></div></div></div><div><div><div style="text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)"><span style="font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;float:none;display:inline">Enter now and encourage your friends, colleagues, students, teachers to do the same!</span></div></div></div></blockquote><div dir="ltr"><div><div style="text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)"><br></div><div style="font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:rgb(255,255,255)"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-size:12.8px"> To listen now, go directly to the<span> </span><a href="https://statsandstories.net/health1/2018/9/6/explaining-bayes-better-stats-short-stories-episode-65" target="_blank">episode</a>. please visit</span><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-size:12.8px"> </span><a href="http://www.statsandstories.net/" style="color:rgb(17,85,204);font-size:12.8px" target="_blank">www.statsandstories.net</a><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-size:12.8px">,</span><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-size:12.8px"> Apple Podcasts,</span><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-size:12.8px"> </span><a href="https://www.stitcher.com/podcast/stats-stories?refid=stpr" style="color:rgb(17,85,204);font-size:12.8px" target="_blank">Stitcher</a>, Google Play or Soundcloud<span style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-size:12.8px">. Please forward information about S+S and S+SS to any of your colleagues or friends who might enjoy exploring the statistics behind the stories and the stories behind the statistics. </span><br></div><div style="font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:rgb(255,255,255)"><div style="color:rgb(0,0,0);text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)"><div style="color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:rgb(255,255,255);text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial"><div style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-family:arial,sans-serif;font-size:12.8px;font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;text-align:start;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;white-space:normal;word-spacing:0px;background-color:rgb(255,255,255);text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial"> As always, comments and suggestions for future guests are welcome, and you are invited to Tweet and to post comments and program ratings on Apple Podcasts and Stitcher. </div><div style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-family:arial,sans-serif;font-size:12.8px;font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;text-align:start;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;white-space:normal;word-spacing:0px;background-color:rgb(255,255,255);text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial"><br></div><div style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-family:arial,sans-serif;font-size:12.8px;font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;text-align:start;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;white-space:normal;word-spacing:0px;background-color:rgb(255,255,255);text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial">Thanks!</div><div style="color:rgb(0,0,0);font-family:arial,sans-serif;font-size:12.8px;font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;text-align:start;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;white-space:normal;word-spacing:0px;background-color:rgb(255,255,255);text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial">John (for the S+S team)</div></div></div></div></div><div style="font-size:small"><br></div><div style="font-size:small"><br></div><div style="font-size:small"><br></div><div><div class="m_635731283564758979gmail_signature"><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div>------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------</div><div>John Bailer baileraj@MiamiOH.edu (+1) 513.529.7879</div><div><span style="font-size:12.8px;color:rgb(51,51,255)"><span style="color:rgb(153,153,153)"><span style="color:rgb(0,0,0)">President-Elect </span> </span></span><font style="font-size:12.8px"><a href="http://isi-web.org/" style="color:rgb(17,85,204)" target="_blank">I</a><a href="http://isi-web.org/" style="color:rgb(17,85,204)" target="_blank">nternational Statistical Institute</a><font color="#000000"> (ISI)</font></font><br></div><div><br></div><div>University Distinguished Professor and Chair</div><div><span style="font-size:12.8px">Department of Statistics, Miami University, Oxford, Ohio 45056 USA</span><br></div><div><br></div><div>Home page: <a href="http://www.users.MiamiOH.edu/baileraj" target="_blank">www.users.MiamiOH.edu/baileraj</a></div><div>Stats+Stories: <a href="http://www.statsandstories.net" target="_blank">www.statsandstories.net</a></div><div>Stat. Dept. Ofc.: 513.529.7828</div><div>Twitter: @statsandstories (Stats+Stories) and @john_bailer (general)</div><div><div style="font-size:12.8px">------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------</div></div><div><br></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div> </div></div> </div><br clear="all"><div><br></div>-- <br><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><font face="verdana, sans-serif">Pedro Luis do Nascimento Silva</font><div><font face="verdana, sans-serif">IBGE - Escola Nacional de Ciências Estatísticas</font></div><div><font face="verdana, sans-serif">IBGE - National School of Statistical Sciences<br>Phone: +55 21 21424957</font></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div>