<div dir="ltr">Primeiro vai a tabela das previsões onde poderão notar que o pico previsto já ocorreu. O interessante é ver os erros do modelo em número de óbitos diários e acumulados. Vão poder notar que em média estamos bem:,sentado no fogão com a cabeça na geladeira.<div><br></div><div>A tabelona</div><div><table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="579" style="border-collapse:collapse;width:435pt">
<colgroup><col width="156" style="width:117pt">
<col width="132" style="width:99pt">
<col width="67" style="width:50pt">
<col width="65" style="width:49pt">
<col width="94" style="width:71pt">
<col width="65" style="width:49pt">
</colgroup><tbody><tr height="22" style="height:16.5pt">
<td colspan="2" height="22" class="gmail-xl114" width="288" style="border-width:1pt;border-style:solid;border-color:windowtext black windowtext windowtext;height:16.5pt;width:216pt;color:windowtext;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;white-space:nowrap">Modêlos Probabilísticos</td>
<td class="gmail-xl63" width="67" style="width:50pt;color:rgb(84,130,53);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-top:1pt solid windowtext;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:1pt solid windowtext;border-left:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">Gamma</td>
<td class="gmail-xl64" width="65" style="border-left:none;width:49pt;color:red;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-top:1pt solid windowtext;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:1pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">Weibull</td>
<td class="gmail-xl65" width="94" style="border-left:none;width:71pt;color:rgb(112,48,160);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-top:1pt solid windowtext;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:1pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">LogNormal</td>
<td class="gmail-xl66" width="65" style="border-left:none;width:49pt;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-top:1pt solid windowtext;border-right:1pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:1pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;color:black;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">Mixture</td>
</tr>
<tr height="21" style="height:15.75pt">
<td rowspan="3" height="64" class="gmail-xl116" style="height:48pt;color:windowtext;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;border-top:none;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-left:1pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;white-space:nowrap">Pico</td>
<td class="gmail-xl67" style="border-left:none;color:windowtext;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-top:none;border-right:1pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">Proporção</td>
<td class="gmail-xl68" style="color:rgb(84,130,53);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;border:none;white-space:nowrap">37,52%</td>
<td class="gmail-xl69" style="color:red;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-top:none;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-left:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">50,86%</td>
<td class="gmail-xl70" style="color:rgb(112,48,160);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;border:none;white-space:nowrap">44,71%</td>
<td class="gmail-xl71" style="font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-top:none;border-right:1pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-left:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;color:black;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">48,01%</td>
</tr>
<tr height="21" style="height:15.75pt">
<td height="21" class="gmail-xl72" style="height:15.75pt;border-top:none;border-left:none;color:windowtext;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:1pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">Data</td>
<td class="gmail-xl73" style="color:rgb(84,130,53);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-top:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-left:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">10/6/20</td>
<td class="gmail-xl74" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;color:red;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">10/6/20</td>
<td class="gmail-xl75" style="border-left:none;color:rgb(112,48,160);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-top:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">23/5/20</td>
<td class="gmail-xl76" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:1pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;color:black;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">10/6/20</td>
</tr>
<tr height="22" style="height:16.5pt">
<td height="22" class="gmail-xl77" style="height:16.5pt;border-top:none;border-left:none;color:windowtext;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:1pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">Óbitos</td>
<td class="gmail-xl78" style="border-top:none;color:rgb(84,130,53);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:none;border-left:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">39.914</td>
<td class="gmail-xl79" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;color:red;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">39.830</td>
<td class="gmail-xl80" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;color:rgb(112,48,160);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">30.317</td>
<td class="gmail-xl81" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:1pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;color:black;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">39.844</td>
</tr>
<tr height="21" style="height:15.75pt">
<td colspan="2" rowspan="2" height="43" class="gmail-xl118" width="288" style="border-width:1pt;border-style:solid;border-color:windowtext black black windowtext;height:32.25pt;width:216pt;color:windowtext;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt"> 39797
Óbitos em 12/6/20 </td>
<td rowspan="2" class="gmail-xl122" style="border-bottom:1pt solid black;color:rgb(84,130,53);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;border-top:1pt solid windowtext;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-left:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;white-space:nowrap">25,51%</td>
<td rowspan="2" class="gmail-xl124" style="border-width:1pt 0.5pt;border-style:solid;border-color:windowtext windowtext black;color:red;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;white-space:nowrap">45,28%</td>
<td rowspan="2" class="gmail-xl112" style="border-width:1pt 0.5pt;border-style:solid;border-color:windowtext windowtext black;color:rgb(112,48,160);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;white-space:nowrap">51,83%</td>
<td rowspan="2" class="gmail-xl97" style="border-width:1pt 1pt 1pt 0.5pt;border-style:solid;border-color:windowtext windowtext black;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;color:black;font-size:12pt;white-space:nowrap">42,24%</td>
</tr>
<tr height="22" style="height:16.5pt">
</tr>
<tr height="21" style="height:15.75pt">
<td rowspan="3" height="64" class="gmail-xl99" style="border-bottom:1pt solid black;height:48pt;border-top:none;color:windowtext;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-left:1pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;white-space:nowrap">Final</td>
<td rowspan="2" class="gmail-xl102" width="132" style="border-top:none;width:99pt;color:windowtext;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;border-right:1pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-left:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt">Final
dos óbitos</td>
<td rowspan="2" class="gmail-xl104" style="border-bottom:0.5pt solid black;border-top:none;color:rgb(84,130,53);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-left:1pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;white-space:nowrap">105.473</td>
<td rowspan="2" class="gmail-xl106" style="border-bottom:0.5pt solid black;border-top:none;color:red;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-left:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;white-space:nowrap">78.313</td>
<td rowspan="2" class="gmail-xl108" style="border-bottom:0.5pt solid black;border-top:none;color:rgb(112,48,160);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-left:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;white-space:nowrap">67.805</td>
<td rowspan="2" class="gmail-xl110" style="border-bottom:0.5pt solid black;border-top:none;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;border-right:1pt solid windowtext;border-left:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;color:black;font-size:12pt;white-space:nowrap">82.994</td>
</tr>
<tr height="21" style="height:15.75pt">
</tr>
<tr height="22" style="height:16.5pt">
<td height="22" class="gmail-xl82" style="height:16.5pt;border-top:none;border-left:none;color:windowtext;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:1pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:1pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">Data Final</td>
<td class="gmail-xl83" style="border-top:none;color:rgb(84,130,53);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:none;border-left:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">4/3/21</td>
<td class="gmail-xl84" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;color:red;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">16/9/20</td>
<td class="gmail-xl85" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;color:rgb(112,48,160);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">9/12/20</td>
<td class="gmail-xl86" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:1pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;color:black;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">12/1/21</td>
</tr>
<tr height="21" style="height:15.75pt">
<td rowspan="3" height="64" class="gmail-xl126" width="156" style="height:48pt;width:117pt;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;border-top:none;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-left:1pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;color:black;font-size:12pt">Previsão com dados do dia 5/6/20</td>
<td class="gmail-xl87" style="border-left:none;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-top:none;border-right:1pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;color:black;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">13/6</td>
<td class="gmail-xl88" style="color:rgb(84,130,53);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-top:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-left:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">42.893</td>
<td class="gmail-xl89" style="border-left:none;color:red;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-top:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">42.933</td>
<td class="gmail-xl90" style="border-left:none;color:rgb(112,48,160);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-top:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">42.760</td>
<td class="gmail-xl91" style="border-left:none;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-top:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-right:1pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;color:black;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">42.926</td>
</tr>
<tr height="21" style="height:15.75pt">
<td height="21" class="gmail-xl92" style="height:15.75pt;border-top:none;border-left:none;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:1pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;color:black;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">14/6</td>
<td class="gmail-xl88" style="border-top:none;color:rgb(84,130,53);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-left:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">43.883</td>
<td class="gmail-xl89" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;color:red;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">43.961</td>
<td class="gmail-xl90" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;color:rgb(112,48,160);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">43.600</td>
<td class="gmail-xl91" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:1pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;color:black;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">43.948</td>
</tr>
<tr height="22" style="height:16.5pt">
<td height="22" class="gmail-xl131" style="height:16.5pt;border-top:none;border-left:none;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:1pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;color:black;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">15/6</td>
<td class="gmail-xl93" style="border-top:none;color:rgb(84,130,53);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:1pt solid windowtext;border-left:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">44.870</td>
<td class="gmail-xl94" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;color:red;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:1pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">44.985</td>
<td class="gmail-xl95" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;color:rgb(112,48,160);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:1pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">44.421</td>
<td class="gmail-xl96" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:1pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:1pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;color:black;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">44.965</td>
</tr>
<tr height="21" style="height:15.75pt">
<td colspan="2" height="21" class="gmail-xl135" style="border-width:1pt 1pt 0.5pt;border-style:solid;border-color:windowtext black windowtext windowtext;height:15.75pt;color:rgb(131,60,12);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">Observação no dia do pico</td>
<td class="gmail-xl132" style="border-top:none;color:rgb(84,130,53);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-left:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">39.797</td>
<td class="gmail-xl128" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;color:red;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">39.797</td>
<td class="gmail-xl129" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;color:rgb(112,48,160);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">22.013</td>
<td class="gmail-xl130" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;color:windowtext;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:1pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">39.797</td>
</tr>
<tr height="21" style="height:15.75pt">
<td colspan="2" height="21" class="gmail-xl137" style="border-width:0.5pt 1pt;border-style:solid;border-color:windowtext black windowtext windowtext;height:15.75pt;color:rgb(131,60,12);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">Erro cometido</td>
<td class="gmail-xl88" style="border-top:none;color:rgb(84,130,53);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-left:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">-117</td>
<td class="gmail-xl89" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;color:red;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">-33</td>
<td class="gmail-xl90" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;color:rgb(112,48,160);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">-8.304</td>
<td class="gmail-xl91" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:1pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;color:black;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">-47</td>
</tr>
<tr height="22" style="height:16.5pt">
<td colspan="2" height="22" class="gmail-xl139" style="border-right:1pt solid black;height:16.5pt;color:rgb(131,60,12);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-top:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:none;border-left:1pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">Erro relativo</td>
<td class="gmail-xl141" style="border-top:none;color:rgb(84,130,53);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:none;border-left:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">-0,29%</td>
<td class="gmail-xl142" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;color:red;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">-0,08%</td>
<td class="gmail-xl143" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;color:rgb(112,48,160);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">-37,72%</td>
<td class="gmail-xl144" style="border-top:none;border-left:none;color:windowtext;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-right:1pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">-0,12%</td>
</tr>
<tr height="21" style="height:15.75pt">
<td colspan="2" height="21" class="gmail-xl133" style="border-width:1pt 1pt 0.5pt;border-style:solid;border-color:windowtext black windowtext windowtext;height:15.75pt;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;color:black;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">Óbitos no dia do pico previsto </td>
<td class="gmail-xl152" style="color:rgb(84,130,53);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-top:1pt solid windowtext;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-left:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">1.300</td>
<td class="gmail-xl155" style="border-left:none;color:red;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-top:1pt solid windowtext;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">1.300</td>
<td class="gmail-xl158" style="border-left:none;color:rgb(112,48,160);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-top:1pt solid windowtext;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">965</td>
<td class="gmail-xl145" style="border-left:none;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;border-top:1pt solid windowtext;border-right:1pt solid windowtext;border-bottom:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;color:black;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom;white-space:nowrap">1.300</td>
</tr>
<tr height="21" style="height:15.75pt">
<td colspan="2" rowspan="2" height="43" class="gmail-xl146" width="288" style="border-width:0.5pt 1pt 1pt;border-style:solid;border-color:windowtext black black windowtext;height:32.25pt;width:216pt;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;color:black;font-size:12pt;vertical-align:bottom">Erro
relativo aos óbitos do dia previsto</td>
<td rowspan="2" class="gmail-xl153" style="border-bottom:1pt solid black;border-top:none;color:rgb(84,130,53);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-left:none;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;white-space:nowrap">-9,00%</td>
<td rowspan="2" class="gmail-xl156" style="border-bottom:1pt solid black;border-top:none;color:red;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-left:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;white-space:nowrap">-2,54%</td>
<td rowspan="2" class="gmail-xl159" style="border-bottom:1pt solid black;border-top:none;color:rgb(112,48,160);font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;border-right:0.5pt solid windowtext;border-left:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;font-size:12pt;white-space:nowrap">-860,52%</td>
<td rowspan="2" class="gmail-xl147" style="border-bottom:1pt solid black;border-top:none;font-weight:700;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;border-right:1pt solid windowtext;border-left:0.5pt solid windowtext;padding-top:1px;padding-right:1px;padding-left:1px;color:black;font-size:12pt;white-space:nowrap">-3,65%</td>
</tr>
<tr height="22" style="height:16.5pt">
</tr>
</tbody></table><br></div><div>Agora os gráficos: o primeiro compara os modelos e o segundo é o melhor modelo comparado com o que foi observado.</div><div><br></div><div>Acho Muito bom!!!!!!!!!</div><div><div><img src="cid:ii_kbd3jjh80" alt="image.png" width="471" height="259"><br></div></div><div>Agora só a Weibull</div><div><div><img src="cid:ii_kbd3mm971" alt="image.png" width="471" height="305"><br></div></div><div><br></div></div>