<div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0cm 0cm 0.0001pt"><font face="times new roman, serif" style="" size="4">Prezada Comunidade Estatística,</font></p>

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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0cm 0cm 0.0001pt"><font face="times new roman, serif" size="4">nesta quarta-feira, dia 26/08 às 16hs será
promovido o Ciclo de Seminários de Estatística e Ciência de Dados do
Departamento de Estatística da UFBA. O Professor Cristian Villegas da
Esalq-USP é o nosso convidado.</font></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0cm 0cm 0.0001pt"><font face="times new roman, serif" size="4"><br></font></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0cm 0cm 0.0001pt"><font face="times new roman, serif" size="4"><b><span style="color:rgb(80,0,80)">link
da transmissão</span></b><b><span style="color:black">: </span></b><span lang="PT"><a href="http://meet.google.com/fze-pcny-cra" target="_blank" style="color:blue"><span lang="PT-BR" style="color:rgb(17,85,204)">meet.google.com/fze-pcny-cra</span></a></span><span style="color:rgb(80,0,80)"> </span></font><font face="times new roman, serif" size="4">  </font></p>

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<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;margin:0cm 0cm 0.0001pt"><b><span style="color:black;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><font face="times new roman, serif" size="4">Ciclo
de Seminários de Estatística e Ciência de Dados</font></span></b></p>

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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0cm 0cm 0.0001pt"><font face="times new roman, serif" size="4"><b><span style="color:black;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial">Palestrante</span></b><span style="color:black;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial">: Cristian Villegas</span></font></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0cm 0cm 0.0001pt"><font face="times new roman, serif" size="4"><span lang="PT"><a href="http://lattes.cnpq.br/7868115035277497" target="_blank" style="color:blue"><span style="color:rgb(17,85,204);background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial">http://lattes.cnpq.br/7868115035277497</span></a></span><span style="color:black;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"></span></font></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0cm 0cm 0.0001pt"><span style="color:rgb(80,0,80);background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial"><font face="times new roman, serif" size="4"> </font></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial;margin:0cm 0cm 0.0001pt"><font face="times new roman, serif" style="" size="4">O
palestrante é Professor Doutor da Escola Superior de Agricultura "Luiz de
Queiroz", Universidade de São Paulo (USP). Desenvolve projetos de pesquisa
na área de modelos simétricos univariados,  modelos lineares de efeitos
mistos, modelos não lineares de efeitos mistos e  modelos aditivos
generalizados sobre a abordagem clássica e  bayesiana.</font><br><font face="Times New Roman, serif" style="font-size:12pt">
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial;margin:0cm 0cm 0.0001pt"><font face="times new roman, serif" style="" size="4"><b style="">Título: </b>Aspectos computacionais<b style=""> </b> de
alguns modelos estatísticos simples sobre a abordagem bayesiana usando o STAN:
conceitos básicos.</font></p>

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<p class="MsoNormal" style="background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial;margin:0cm 0cm 0.0001pt"><font face="times new roman, serif" size="4"><b>Resumo: </b>Neste trabalho é apresentado o pacote rstan
(Stan Development Team, 2019) para ajuste de modelos sobre a abordagem
bayesiana. Mostramos alguns exemplos aplicados a modelos lineares simples e a
regressão logística. Além disso, são apresentados alguns gráficos de
diagnóstico para estudar a convergência do algoritmo HMC (Hamiltonian Monte
Carlo), um amostrador mais robusto que o amostrador Gibbs ou
Metropolis-Hastings. A palestra tem como objetivo motivar pessoas  do
ponto de vista computacional sem experiência em estatística bayesiana a ter
mais uma ferramenta para análise de dados. </font></p>

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<p class="MsoNormal" style="background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial;margin:0cm 0cm 0.0001pt"><span style="color:rgb(80,0,80)"><font face="times new roman, serif" size="4"> </font></span>- </p><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div dir="ltr"><b><font face="verdana, sans-serif">Lizandra Castilho Fabio</font></b><div><font face="verdana, sans-serif">Assistant Professor</font></div><div><font face="verdana, sans-serif">Department of Statistics</font></div><div><font face="verdana, sans-serif">Federal University of Bahia, Brazil</font></div></div></div></div>