[ABE-L] Ciclo de Palestras PPG Estatística UFRJ (Leo Bastos - 12/05 às 15:30)

[Kelly Cristina]

Prezados,

dando continuidade ao Ciclo de Palestras do Programa de Pós-Graduação
em Estatística do IM-UFRJ, *na próxima 4a feira, 12/05/21, às 15:30*,
teremos a palestra do pesquisador:

*Leonardo Bastos (Fiocruz)*

*Título: *Nowcasting Covid-19 deaths and hospitalised cases in Brazil

*Resumo: *The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic continues to cause a
massive burden in the world, especially in countries such as Brazil, with
poor implementation of strategies to mitigate the transmission of
SARS-CoV-2. The number of cases, severe cases, and deaths by COVID-19 are
important indicators of how the COVID-19 epidemic is affecting a particular
region and can be used by decision-makers to act in order to reduce
morbidity and mortality. However, a common problem with surveillance data
is reporting delays, whereby cases and deaths are recorded in the
surveillance system days or even weeks after they occurred. Statistical
models can estimate the actual number of cases, severe cases, and deaths by
COVID-19 accounting for the delays (nowcasting). We proposed a Bayesian
hierarchical model to nowcast deaths and hospitalised cases for Brazil and
also for the 27 federal units. Finally, we provide some general discussion
about the COVID-19 situation in Brazil.

*Atenção:* A palestra ocorrerá remotamente com transmissão ao vivo pelo
canal Ciclo de Palestras Estatística UFRJ
<https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCoLTqHW20Ne1qFYL2xYJOcg> do Youtube.

Contamos com a presença de vocês.
Acompanhem a atualização da programação do nosso ciclo de palestras no
site  http://www.dme.ufrj.br/?page_id=3037.

Atenciosamente,

-- 
*Kelly C. M. Gonçalves*
*Professora Adjunta IV*
*Departamento de Métodos Estatísticos*
*Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro*
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